NEW DELHI: India’s top Covid-19 modelers have projected a fall of 93 per cent in average daily infections by June-end with the pandemic’s second wave expected to hit the rock bottom by August 31.
The Covid-19 SUTRA mathematical model, developed by leading experts Prof M Vidyasagar of IIT, Hyderabad, Prof Manindra Agrawal of IIT, Kanpur, and Lt Gen Madhuri Kanitkar, part of the medical team under the Chief of Defence Staff, predicts that the daily average of new cases would fall to 15,520 by June 30, just 7% of the 2,08,921 cases recorded today.
Prof Vidyasagar, who heads the three-member National Covid-19 Super Model Committee, recently made accurate predictions about the peaking of the second wave post May 7 followed by a steady decline in new infections and active cases.
The latest SUTRA model prediction by the top experts says daily new cases will fall rapidly starting May-end to 305 by August 31.
The predictions are along similar lines as those made by the Singapore University, which recently studied 131 nations, projecting that India would be relatively free of the current Covid burden by the later part of June.